การเสริมสร้างความยืดหยุ่นเชิงภูมิภาค : วิสัยทัศน์ประชาคมอาเซียน 2045 ท่ามกลางความไม่แน่นอนทางภูมิรัฐศาสตร์

Amorn Wangukkarangkul

Authors

Amorn Wangukkarangkul Suratthani Rajabhat University

Keywords:

ASEAN Community, ASEAN Vision 2045, Regional Resilience, Geopolitics, ASEAN Way

Abstract

This article aimed to analyze approaches for developing the ASEAN Community Vision 2045 within the context of building regional resilience amid increasing geopolitical uncertainties. The study employed qualitative analysis through document and literature review to examine key challenges facing ASEAN, including great power competition in the Indo-Pacific region, climate change and ecological security threats, digital transformation and cybersecurity concerns, and internal political dynamics within ASEAN member states along with governance challenges. Findings were that an appropriate regional resilience framework for ASEAN comprises three interconnected dimensions: structural resilience, strategic resilience, and developmental resilience. This framework differs from Western concepts of resilience by integrating ASEAN’s principles of consensus-building and non-interference in internal affairs. The study revealed that building regional resilience requires institutional reform through broader implementation of the “ASEAN Minus X” principle, maintaining ASEAN centrality through concrete Indo-Pacific strategies, enhancing capabilities to address global challenges, and revising the “ASEAN Way” principles to align with the necessity of responding to transnational issues by shifting from traditional non-interference to constructive engagement. In conclusion, strengthening regional resilience according to the proposed framework would be a critical factor in determining ASEAN’s success in building a secure and sustainable community by 2045. This approach aligned with the vision emphasizing resilient, innovative, dynamic, and people centered.

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