มิติระหว่างประเทศของกระบวนการปฏิรูปทางการเมือง และเศรษฐกิจของเมียนมา (ค.ศ. 2007-2015)

ผู้แต่ง

  • ม.ล.พินิตพันธุ์ บริพัตร คณะรัฐศาสตร์ มหาวิทยาลัยธรรมศาสตร์

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61462/cujss.v51i1.694

คำสำคัญ:

ตัวแสดงภายนอก, กระบวนการปฏิรูปทางการเมืองและเศรษฐกิจ, เมียนมา, กระบวนการพัฒนาประชาธิปไตย, ความมั่นคงสถาพรของระบอบประชาธิปไตย

บทคัดย่อ

บทความวิจัยศึกษามิติระหว่างประเทศของกระบวนการปฏิรูปทางการเมืองและเศรษฐกิจของเมียนมา ใน 3 ด้าน ได้แก่ การลงทุนโดยตรงจากต่างประเทศและการพัฒนาโครงสร้างพื้นฐานทางเศรษฐกิจ การพัฒนาระบบการอภิบาลประชาธิปไตย และกระบวนการสันติภาพและการเจรจาปรองดอง ตลอดจนวิเคราะห์บริบทระหว่างประเทศและตัวแสดงภายนอก ได้แก่ รัฐบาลและองค์การระหว่างประเทศต่าง ๆ ว่ามีบทบาทและอิทธิพลต่อกระบวนการประชาธิปไตยนับตั้งแต่ปี ค.ศ. 2007 ถึง ค.ศ. 2015 หรือไม่ อย่างไร โดยอาศัยการศึกษาเรื่องกระบวนการพัฒนาประชาธิปไตย (democratization) และการสถาปนาความมั่นคงสถาพรของระบอบประชาธิปไตย (democratic consolidation) เป็นกรอบความคิดสำคัญ การเปลี่ยนผ่านและกระบวนการประชาธิปไตยของเมียนมาถูกริเริ่ม ขับเคลื่อน และยังคงครอบงำโดยรัฐบาลทหารและกองทัพ อีกทั้งการพัฒนาประชาธิปไตยเข้มแข็ง จะยังคงขึ้นอยู่กับเจตนารมณ์และความจริงจังของรัฐบาลที่มาจากการเลือกตั้ง กองทัพ และความสัมพันธ์ของทั้ง 2 ฝ่าย ดังนั้นตัวแสดงภายนอกจึงมีอิทธิพลอย่างจำกัดในการส่งเสริมกระบวนการพัฒนาประชาธิปไตยของเมียนมา อย่างไรก็ดี งานวิจัยพบว่าตัวแสดงภายนอกยังสามารถสนับสนุนกระบวนการปฏิรูปประเทศที่สำคัญและจำเป็นต่อการวางรากฐานเพื่อการมีประชาธิปไตยที่เข้มแข็งในเมียนมาได้ในอนาคต โดยเฉพาะอย่างยิ่งในด้านการพัฒนาเชิงสถาบันและการพัฒนาท้องถิ่น

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06-09-2022

How to Cite

บริพัตร ม.ล.พินิตพันธุ์. 2022. “มิติระหว่างประเทศของกระบวนการปฏิรูปทางการเมือง และเศรษฐกิจของเมียนมา (ค.ศ. 2007-2015)”. วารสารสังคมศาสตร์ จุฬาลงกรณ์มหาวิทยาลัย 51 (1). Bangkok, Thailand:97-122. https://doi.org/10.61462/cujss.v51i1.694.